Looking to place a wager on some football games this weekend? The Post-Gazette has all the information you need to make picks in key contests, locally and nationally. Here’s the outlook for games Nov. 23-27.
Odds are current as of Wednesday afternoon, per DraftKings Sportsbook. Historical information is from Scores and Odds. Public betting info is from Action Network.
Steelers at Cincinnati
Spread: Steelers, -1
Moneyline: Steelers -118, Cincinnati -102
Over/under: 34.5
Trends: The total has plummeted 6.5 points since opening at 41 as 83% of the bets and 99% of the cash has landed on the under, so there may be some value on the over as the house’s side. … However, the under has now cashed in seven of the Steelers’ past eight games. … The Steelers are 2-1 against the spread as favorites in 2023. … The Steelers have dropped four of the past five meetings straight up. … The total has gone over 34.5 points in five of the last six meetings.
No. 11 Penn State at Michigan State
Spread: Penn State, -21
Moneyline: Penn State -1650, Michigan State +950
Over/under: 43
Trends: The line has moved eight points toward Penn State since open, as 81% of the bets and 83% of the cash has landed on the Nittany Lions. This could signal some value on the Spartans as the house side. … Penn State is 8-1 against the spread as a favorite in 2023. … Penn State has won just one of the nine meetings as division rivals by a margin of more than 21 points.
Pitt at Duke
Spread: Duke, -6
Moneyline: Duke -218, Pitt +180
Over/under: 42
Trends: Big bettors are hammering Duke, which accounts for 79% of the bets but 96% of the cash in the spread market. … The over has cashed in four of the Blue Devils’ past five games. … Duke has failed to cover in four of its past five games and has not covered as a favorite since Oct. 14 against N.C. State.
West Virginia at Baylor
Spread: West Virginia, -9.5
Moneyline: West Virginia -355, Baylor +280
Over/under: 55.5
Trends: Sharps are hammering the over, which is drawing 96% of the cash on just 50% of the wagers in the total market. … The over has cashed in five of the Mountaineers’ past six games. … The Bears have dropped five of their past six games against the spread.
Thanksgiving Day - Green Bay at Detroit
Spread: Detroit, -7.5
Moneyline: Detroit -360, Green Bay +285
Over/under: 47
Trends: The under is drawing 38% of the bets but 49% of the cash in the total market, a sign some bigger bettors expect a lower-scoring game. … The under has cashed in five of the Packers’ past six games. … The Lions are 6-2 against the spread when favored this season.
Thanksgiving Day - Washington at Dallas
Spread: Dallas, -12.5
Moneyline: Dallas -675, Washington +490
Over/under: 49
Trends: Sharps like the Commanders in the spread market. They account for 68% of the handle on just 51% of the tickets printed. … Dallas is 7-1 ATS as the favorite this season. … Four of the six meetings between these division rivals this decade have gone under by a total of 49 points.
Thanksgiving Day - San Francisco at Seattle
Spread: San Francisco, -7
Moneyline: San Francisco -340, Seattle +270
Over/under: 43
Trends: Big bettors are loading up the under with 89% of the cash on 75% of the wagers. … The 49ers have dropped four of their past five games against the spread. … The under has cashed in five of the Seahawks' past seven contests.
Black Friday - Miami at New York Jets
Spread: Miami, -10
Moneyline: Miami -520, New York +390
Over/under: 41
Trends: This is yet another under that the big bettors are hammering. It’s drawing 77% of the cash on just 54% of the tickets. … The under has cashed in each of the Jets’ past five games. … The Dolphins have dropped each of their past road games against the spread.
Sunday Night Football - Baltimore at Los Angeles Chargers
Spread: Baltimore, -3.5
Moneyline: Baltimore -180, Los Angeles +150
Over/under: 47
Trends: The over is drawing 35% of the bets but 65% of the handle, making this one of the weekend’s few games in which big bettors expect a lot of points. … The over has cashed in four of the Raven’s past five games. … However, the under is 6-1-1 in the past eight Chargers games.
Monday Night Football - Chicago at Minnesota
Spread: Minnesota, -3.5
Moneyline: Minnesota -166, Chicago +140
Over/under: 43
Trends: The Bears are a huge public side with 86% of the bets and 92% of the cash behind them, which signals some possible value on the Vikings on the house’s clear preference. … The Vikings are one of the hottest spread teams in football, with covers in each of their past six contests. … The under is just 2-7 in the Vikings’ past nine.
No. 15 Oregon State at No. 6 Oregon
Spread: Oregon, -14
Moneyline: Oregon -550, Oregon State +410
Over/under: 62.5
Trends: Big bettors love the Beavers, who account for 87% of the cash in the spread market on just 48% of the bets. … The Ducks have dropped just two of their 11 games this season against the spread. … The over has cashed in four of the Ducks’ past six contests.
No. 2 Ohio State at No. 3 Michigan
Spread: Michigan, -3.5
Moneyline: Michigan -170, Ohio State +142
Over/under: 46
Trends: Big bettors are backing the Wolverines with 32% of the handle on just 20% of the bets. … The total has plummeted 11.5 points since open, as 90% of the bets and 94% of the handle have landed on the under, signaling some possible value on the over as the house’s heavy investment. … The over has cashed in six of Michigan’s past seven but just one of the Buckeyes’ contests over the same span.
Adam Bittner: abittner@post-gazette.com and Twitter @fugimaster24
First Published: November 23, 2023, 10:30 a.m.
